> It’s worth also pointing out, based on the title of this slide, that Intel still believes in Moore’s Law.
> Just don’t ask how much it’ll cost.
I once got an opportunity to ask something similar to an Apple executive during a presentation on their hardware capabilities (it was a university event).
He laughed and answered another part of my question.
This is pretty well known in the semi-conductor industry.
Everyone believes 5-7nm is the cost wall for just about everyone but Apple or Intel. Some companies are actually going the opposite direction or re-spinning new chips on older processes because of cost.
That's not quite correct. It's about the number of transistors per integrated circuit that minimises per-transistor cost. From the actual 1965 paper:
> "The complexity for minimum component costs has increased at a rate of roughly a factor of two per year (see graph on next page). Certainly over the short term this rate can be expected to continue, if not to increase. Over the longer term, the rate of increase is a bit more uncertain, although there is no reason to believe it will not remain nearly constant for at least 10 years. That means by 1975, the number of components per integrated circuit for minimum cost will be 65,000."
There's also the 1975 speech where he revised it down from a yearly doubling to once every two years.
> It’s worth also pointing out, based on the title of this slide, that Intel still believes in Moore’s Law.
> Just don’t ask how much it’ll cost.
I once got an opportunity to ask something similar to an Apple executive during a presentation on their hardware capabilities (it was a university event).
He laughed and answered another part of my question.